{"id":458,"date":"2019-05-16T13:05:07","date_gmt":"2019-05-16T13:05:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.montclair.edu\/forward-thinking\/?page_id=458"},"modified":"2019-05-16T13:12:01","modified_gmt":"2019-05-16T13:12:01","slug":"understanding-how-ecosystems-respond-to-change","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.montclair.edu\/forward-thinking\/spring-2019\/understanding-how-ecosystems-respond-to-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Understanding How Ecosystems Respond to Change"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Grasshopper<\/figure>\n

As species extinction accelerates because of climate change and human intervention, understanding how those extinctions impact ecosystems is vital.<\/strong><\/p>\n

University researchers are using cutting-edge tools in mathematical modeling to understand ecological food webs and their resilience to change.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn the broad sense, we\u2019re developing mathematical tools that can be adapted to a specific setting to predict possible outcomes to random disturbances. For example, the health of a food web can be measured by its susceptibility to an invasive species or the resilience to a species extinction,\u201d says College of Science and Mathematics Dean Lora Billings<\/strong>. She and Mathematical Sciences Professor Eric Forgoston<\/strong> have received a three-year, $249,997 National Science Foundation (NSF) award by its Mathematical Biology program in the Division of Mathematical Sciences for their project, \u201cStochastic Interactions: Understanding Invasion and Extinction in Ecological Systems.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cWe will scientifically address questions about the interdependence of species and how their population changes from the impacts of climate change, human intervention and other environmental factors,\u201d Billings explains.<\/p>\n

By collaborating with ecologists from the British Antarctic Survey with expertise in analyzing Antarctic tundra ecosystems, the team will apply an interdisciplinary approach grounded in observable data. \u201cWhile our work is general and can be used to study any food web and its associated invaders, we\u2019ll start by considering the Antarctic food webs,\u201d says Forgoston.<\/p>\n

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\u201cWe\u2019ll be able to identify what makes an ecosystem unbalanced and how robust food webs are to unexpected environmental changes \u2013 whether from natural disasters or an invasive species.\u201d<\/p>\n